Bnp Paribas Open Predictions: Jack Draper Vs Carlos Alcaraz – Saturday 15 March 2025

Let’s have a look at all the career, performance and head-to-head stats for the match and find out if Jack Draper or Carlos Alcaraz is expected to win.

Match Details:

Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz – Saturday 15 March 2025 – Bnp Paribas Open – Indian Wells Tennis Garden, Indian Wells, CA, USA

Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head, Preview, Stats & Pick:

Head To Head Alcaraz Leads 3-1.

In a highly anticipated match at the ATP Masters 1000, young British sensation Jack Draper faced off against Spanish prodigy Carlos Alcaraz. Alcaraz, who had a commanding lead in their head-to-head record of 3-1, was determined to extend his dominance over Draper.

Their previous encounters showcased Alcaraz’s resilience and Draper’s fighting spirit. At the Basel tournament, Alcaraz clawed his way back after losing the first set to secure a hard-fought victory. Similarly, at the Indian Wells event, Draper was forced to retire due to injury, handing Alcaraz another win. However, Draper managed to break Alcaraz’s winning streak by defeating him at the London/Queen’s Club tournament on grass.

As the Australian Open rolled around, Alcaraz proved his superiority once again, overpowering Draper in straight sets. Despite their contrasting fortunes in the past, Draper was determined to tip the scales in his favor this time around.

Looking at Draper’s impressive career and achievements, it is evident that he has been steadily rising through the ranks. With a current world ranking of 14 and a career-high of 12, he has consistently broken new ground. In 2022, he entered the top 200 followed by the top 100 a few months later. His ascent continued as he broke into the top 50 before peaking at No. 12 in February 2025.

Draper’s breakthrough performance came at the US Open in 2024, where he reached the semifinals without dropping a set. This placed him alongside the likes of Rusedski, Henman, and Murray as the fourth British man to achieve this feat in the Open Era. He went on to capture his first ATP Tour title in Stuttgart by defeating the two-time champion, Berrettini. And, remarkably, he followed it up by defeating the formidable No. 2 Alcaraz at the Queen’s Club event.

The 2024 Vienna tournament saw Draper secure the biggest title of his career, becoming the first man to achieve this feat since Murray in 2014. In 2022, he made significant strides, reaching his first ATP Tour semifinal in Eastbourne as a wildcard. He also defeated top 10 players, Tsitsipas and Auger-Aliassime, showcasing his ability to compete against the best in the world.

At just 23 years old, Draper concluded his junior career on a high note, achieving a career-high ranking of No. 7 and reaching the Wimbledon boys’ singles final in 2018.

Now, with his sights set on the ATP Masters 1000 semifinals, Draper has already made history. His victory over the 2022 champion and world No. 4, Fritz, in the previous round showcased his determination to make a mark. If he manages to secure another top-five win, he will become the first British player since Murray in 2016 to achieve multiple such victories in a single event. A win in this match would not only solidify his Top 10 debut but also propel him to No. 8 in the PIF ATP Rankings.

Turning our attention to Alcaraz, his rise in the tennis world has been nothing short of extraordinary. At just 21 years old, he currently holds the world No. 3 spot with a career-high ranking of No. 1. Making history as the youngest and first teenage world No. 1, he achieved this milestone at the age of 19 in September 2022. His incredible journey saw him rise from No. 32 at the end of 2021, spending a total of 36 weeks at the pinnacle of men’s tennis.

Alcaraz’s breakthrough moment came at the US Open in 2022 when he defeated Ruud to claim the No. 1 ranking. This made him the youngest men’s champion at the tournament since Sampras in 1990 and the youngest Grand Slam champion since Nadal at the 2005 Roland Garros. He continued to make history by winning the 2024 Roland Garros, becoming the youngest man to win a Grand Slam title on all three surfaces.

Defeating Djokovic, a seven-time champion, in the finals of Wimbledon and earning a silver medal at the Paris Olympics further solidified Alcaraz’s place among the tennis elites. His impressive record also includes being the youngest player to defeat both Nadal and Djokovic at the same clay-court event, a remarkable feat accomplished at the 2022 Madrid Masters.

As Alcaraz takes to the court for his 16th consecutive match at this ATP Masters 1000 event, he aims to achieve a three-peat, a feat never before accomplished by a player born in 1991 or later. With his eyes set on reaching his seventh ATP Masters 1000 final, he seeks to equal David Ferrer’s record of second-most appearances in the finals among Spaniards. Having last triumphed at Indian Wells, Alcaraz boasts an immaculate record of 6-0 in tour-level semifinals since March of the previous year.

These two young talents will undoubtedly provide spectators with an enthralling match. Will Draper manage to overcome Alcaraz’s dominance, or will Alcaraz continue his winning streak and establish himself as a force to be reckoned with? The outcome of this clash will determine who advances to the singles finals, and tennis fans around the world eagerly await this riveting contest.

Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction:

I believe Jack Draper will win in straight sets.
The Stevegtennis.com prediction algorithm has a much better success rate in picking
match winners than me!

So check out who it picks for this match here:
Stevegtennis.com Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction.