ATP Bnp Paribas Open
Day 11 – Saturday 15 March 2025, Indian Wells Tennis Garden, Indian Wells, CA, USA.
- The match up: Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev
- Event Name: Bnp Paribas Open
- Match Date: Saturday 15 March 2025
- Day Of Event: Day 11
- Event Address: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, Indian Wells, CA, USA
Let’s have a look at all the career, performance and head-to-head stats for the match and find out if Holger Rune or Daniil Medvedev is expected to win.
Match Details:
Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev – Saturday 15 March 2025 – Bnp Paribas Open – Indian Wells Tennis Garden, Indian Wells, CA, USA
Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head, Preview, Stats & Pick:
Head To Head Medvedev Leads 2-1.
In a highly anticipated clash at the ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo, Danish rising star Holger Rune faced off against fifth-ranked Daniil Medvedev. The head-to-head record favored Medvedev, who held a 2-1 lead. In their previous encounters, Medvedev emerged victorious at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Rome and Indian Wells, while Rune claimed a win at the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo.
Rune, currently ranked 13th in the world and boasting a career-high ranking of 4th, has been making waves since his breakthrough into the Top 100 in January 2022. The young Dane quickly rose through the ranks, reaching the Top 50 in May of the same year and entering the Top 10 by November, making history as the highest-ranked Danish player in ATP Rankings history. Notably, Rune made headlines by winning the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 Paris title at just 19 years old, becoming the first player since the inception of the ATP Tour in 1990 to secure five Top-10 wins at a non-Nitto ATP Finals event.
From the 2022 Paris tournament to the 2023 Rome tournament, Rune showcased his skill and consistency, compiling an impressive 18-5 record in six ATP Masters 1000 events. During this run, he reached the finals in Monte-Carlo and Rome. Rune also achieved a remarkable seven-match winning streak against Top-5 opponents, including victories over world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz at the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 Paris and world No. 1 Novak Djokovic at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Rome.
Though Rune’s journey has seen ups and downs, he closed out the 2022 season on a high note with a 19-2 record, marking a stark contrast to his earlier struggles. He also made history by becoming the first Danish man to reach the quarterfinals of the Roland Garros in 2021 and the first Danish player to reach a Grand Slam quarterfinal in the Open Era.
In this match against Medvedev, Rune is seeking his fourth ATP Masters 1000 final, a feat he has not accomplished since losing to Medvedev in the 2023 Rome final. He holds a record of 17-23 against Top-10 opponents, including a win over No. 9 Stefanos Tsitsipas in the fourth round of a previous event. Rune aims to secure multiple Top-10 wins in a single tournament, a milestone he has achieved three times before. Additionally, he is on the cusp of achieving his 150th tour-level win, which would make him only the second Dane to reach this milestone, following in the footsteps of Kenneth Carlsen, who has 266 victories to his name.
On the other side of the court stands Daniil Medvedev, a 29-year-old Russian currently ranked 6th in the world and boasting a career-high ranking of 1st. Medvedev experienced a 16-week stint as the world No. 1 in 2022, becoming the tallest player to hold that position in history at 1.98m (6’6″). In addition, he is the first player other than the “Big Four” (Djokovic, Federer, Murray, and Nadal) to achieve the top ranking since Andy Roddick in 2004.
Medvedev, a six-time Grand Slam finalist, has showcased his prowess on the court with notable victories over Djokovic, particularly when the Serb was ranked No. 1 in the world. Notably, Medvedev denied Djokovic a calendar Grand Slam by defeating him in the 2021 US Open final with an impressive straight-set victory.
In 2020, Medvedev made history by sweeping the top three players in the world – Djokovic, Nadal, and Thiem – en route to the Nitto ATP Finals title, a feat never before accomplished in the tournament’s history or anywhere on the ATP Tour since 2007. He has also displayed his dominance by winning 63 matches in 2021, the most on the ATP Tour, and securing team titles at the 2021 ATP Cup, Laver Cup, and Davis Cup.
Medvedev, known for his mastery on hard courts, has won 18 of his 20 singles titles on this surface. However, his breakthrough on clay came in 2023 when he clinched the ATP Masters 1000 championship titles at both Miami and Rome, marking his first title on this challenging surface.
In this match, Medvedev aims to reach his 39th tour-level final, his first since Indian Wells last year. Notably, this will be his third consecutive appearance in the Indian Wells final, having finished as the runner-up in both 2023 and 2024, falling to Carlos Alcaraz on both occasions. A victory in this highly anticipated matchup would catapult Medvedev back into the Top 5 of the ATP rankings, a position he hasn’t held since January 27, after the Australian Open.
Both players have showcased their immense talent and resilience throughout their careers. Rune’s rapid ascent and knack for defeating top-ranked opponents paired with Medvedev’s consistency and impressive victories have set the stage for an enthralling tennis clash. As these two athletes square off, tennis enthusiasts can expect a gripping battle filled with spectacular shots and intense rallies.
Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction:
I believe Holger Rune will win in straight sets.
The Stevegtennis.com prediction algorithm has a much better success rate in picking
match winners than me!
So check out who it picks for this match here:
Stevegtennis.com Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev prediction.
