The SteveGTennis.com Machine Learning Algorithm has analyzed this upcoming match between Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys. Our predictions are based on a huge range of factors such as player form, head-to-head records, playing surface, and recent performance trends. Our picks model is fine tuned using stats data from over 400,000 past ATP & WTA matches to provide you with the most accurate Head 2 Head predictions.
Sabalenka Vs Keys H2H Comparison

Head to Head Record: Sabalenka 4-1 Keys
"The head to head between Sabalenka Vs Keys on Hard, the surface of this match is 3 to 0. The last match between them was on Oct 2, 2024 at the China Open - Beijing (Fourth round) with Aryna Sabalenka winning 6-4 6-3" - Peter Gold (Predictions Team)

Sabalenka Vs Keys Match Info, Date and Time:
Tournament : Australian Open
Surface : Hard
Round : Fourth round
Date : Jan 25, 2025
Time : 11:00:00 AM
Sabalenka Vs Keys Prediction and Pick:
The Stevegtennis.com Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning System has run in-depth analysis and based on all the available current and historical data, Sabalenka has a 78.45% chance of winning, whilst Keys has a 21.55% chance of being victorious.
Our prediction: Aryna Sabalenka to win

Sabalenka Vs Keys Last Match Highlights
Sabalenka Vs Keys Important H2H Performance Stats:
- Analysing current form, Aryna Sabalenka has reached these rounds in her last 3 tournaments played: Final, Semifinals, Final. The same data for Madison Keys is Final, Quarterfinals, First round. Sabalenka has won 10 out of THEIR last 10 matches, while Keys has won 10 from 10.
- Pressure Points performance in recent form: Sabalenka has saved 64% of breakpoints against her and managed to convert 47% of the breakpoint opportunities. Keys has saved 60% of breakpoints, whilst converting 45%.
- Recent form W/L record for Sabalenka is (37/5), whereas Keys boasts a (17/5) W/L form.
- In terms of career deciding sets, Sabalenka has won 127 out of 225 deciders, whilst Keys record stands at 95 out of 182 wins.
- Over their career, after winning the first set, Sabalenka has managed to win 367 out 413 matches. Keys record in this area is 352 wins out of 403.
- For more predictions, visit our daily tennis tips page.
- For huge in depth statistical analysis as well as their past matches against all opponents as well as between Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys, check out their Stevegtennis.com h2h page here.
Below you can see how Sabalenka and Keys have been performing on the surface of this match in their respective careers vs all other opponents. These head 2 head stats, combined with looking at the recent form of each player gives a very good indication regarding the prediction of this match.

*To filter the above stats versus the head to head opponent, all opponents, and by any surface, level or round, check out the detailed stats prediction page here
Sabalenka Vs Keys full historical head to head stats and detailed machine learning prediction can be seen https://www.stevegtennis.com/head-to-head/women/Aryna_Sabalenka/Madison_Keys/
To see all the Stevegtennis.com Australian Open predictions for day 13 go to our tennis predictions page here: https://www.stevegtennis.com/tennis-predictions-stats-h2h