ATP 2025 Australian Open
Day 10 – Tuesday 21 January, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.


- The match up: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul
- Event Name: 2025 Australian Open
- Match Date: Tuesday 21 January
- Day Of Event: Day 10
- Event Address: Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Let’s have a look at all the career, performance and head-to-head stats for the match and find out if Alexander Zverev or Tommy Paul is expected to win.
Match Details:
Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul – Tuesday 21 January – 2025 Australian Open – Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Head-to-Head, Preview, Stats & Pick:
Head To Head Paul leads 2-0.
In what promises to be an exciting clash, No. 2 seed Alexander Zverev of Germany will take on No. 12 seed Tommy Paul of the United States in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open. This will be their third meeting, but the first time they face each other at a Grand Slam. Interestingly, Paul holds a 2-0 lead in their head-to-head record, having defeated Zverev in Acapulco in 2020 and Indian Wells in 2022, both on hard courts.
Zverev, known for his powerful game, has had mixed success against Top 20 players at the Australian Open. In his 12 appearances at the tournament, he has a win-loss record of 4-7 against such opponents. However, he has been in fantastic form recently, winning 8 of his last 9 matches against Top 20 players. This includes victories over the likes of Andrey Rublev, Stan Wawrinka, and Carlos Alcaraz.
On the other hand, Paul is looking to notch up another win against a Top 20 player at a Grand Slam. He has a 1-8 record against Top 20 players in Grand Slams, with his lone victory coming against Grigor Dimitrov at the Australian Open in 2020. Additionally, Paul has struggled against Top 5 players, losing all five of his encounters against them at Grand Slams. However, he did manage to defeat Daniil Medvedev, then ranked No. 4 in the world, at the Rome-1000 event in 2024.
Both players have had impressive runs to the quarterfinals. Zverev defeated Lucas Pouille, Christopher O’Connell, Pedro Martinez, and Ugo Humbert, dropping just one set in the process. Similarly, Paul had wins over Kei Nishikori, Jacob Fearnley, Roberto Carballes Baena, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, also losing just one set along the way.
While Zverev’s experience at this stage of the tournament is evident, with this being his 9th Grand Slam quarterfinal appearance, Paul is no stranger to the big stage either. He reached the semifinals at the Australian Open in 2023, becoming the first American player to do so since Andy Roddick in 2009.
As they prepare to face off, Zverev has the opportunity to add another milestone to his career. A win would see him equal Tommy Haas’s Open Era record for most Australian Open semifinal appearances by a German man. Furthermore, Zverev is vying to become the first German man to win a Grand Slam title since Boris Becker at the 1996 Australian Open.
For Paul, this match presents an opportunity to showcase his potential and continue his rise in the sport. A win would not only propel him to a second Grand Slam semifinal but also establish himself as one of the leading American players on the tour.
In what could prove to be a thrilling encounter, Zverev’s firepower will face off against Paul’s tenacity. Both players will be determined to prove themselves on the big stage and secure a place in the semifinals. Tennis fans can expect a hard-fought battle as these two talented players go head-to-head at the Australian Open.
Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Prediction:
I believe Alexander Zverev will win in straight sets.
The Stevegtennis.com prediction algorithm has a much better success rate in picking
match winners than me!
So check out who it picks for this match here:
Stevegtennis.com Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul prediction.