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March 19,2024

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Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Indian Wells 2023 Final Prediction

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To see detailed h2h stats and predictions for Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz, see our Stevegtennis head to head prediction here.

While not a No.1 seed vs No.2 seed matchup, the Indian Wells Masters final between Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz is the one most will have predicted and many will have been looking forward to. There has been one matchup between the two but not much can be taken from a Wimbledon matchup two years ago, where Alcaraz was beaten heavily while ranked No. 75.

Check out the H2H stats between Alcaraz and Medvedev.

Medvedev had to work hard against Frances Tiafoe but did manage to get things done in two, even if things went a bit awry near the end. He was broken twice serving for the match and lost seven match points the the 7-5 7-6 victory. “It was crazy at the end,” said Medvedev after extending his winning streak to nineteen. “I got super tight. I would say that [after] 6-5, 40/0, I think I got tight at deuce when I was like, ‘Oh my god, that’s a lot of opportunities missed, this could go not well for me’. So I got really tight, [but] I still managed to continue playing good… The ace [on match point] was a relief, I’m just really happy that I managed not to lose this match.”

Alcaraz continues to astound and will have the opportunity to add another impressive record with victory today. A title would see him be the youngest player to win both of the Sunshine Double tournaments, beating three players including Novak Djokovic who won at 20. After delivering at the key moments of the opening set of his 7-6 6-3 victory, he pulled away in the second with an early break. “Playing against Jannik is never easy. I had to overcome a little bit of problems. I had set point down,” Alcaraz said. “I knew that I had to increase my level to [beat] Jannik. It was a really close first set. In the second set I put out all the nerves and played more relaxed. I think it was the key of everything.”

This would probably be the most impressive win of what would be a 20 match streak for Medvedev if he takes it, even though there is a win over Novak Djokovic included in that run. Alcaraz should be the fresher one with no sets dropped this week while he also remains much more comfortable on this surface. The Spaniard can match Medvedev from the baseline but his better movement and athleticism should give him the advantage, especially if it leads to the Russian trying to be too aggressive for what the surface requires.

Prediction – Carlos Alcaraz in three sets

See more tennis predictions here.

For additional head to head predictions of Daniil Medvedev Carlos Alcaraz, you can see detailed H2H stats for Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz.

To see all our predictions for upcoming matches, based on our machine learning model analysing results since 1960, see our tennis predictions page here.

Aaron Higgs
Aaron Higgshttp://www.aceofbaseline.com
Experienced tennis writer with a focus on event previews and results.

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